March Madness sleeper bets: Three video games with intriguing odds

The at all times common 12 over 5 upset choose could possibly be this one between Drake and Miami. This Friday recreation in Albany will likely be one of many extra analyzed video games of the primary spherical, particularly as a result of there’s a narrative on the market that Miami isn’t a very good highway group, however the offense has been simply positive outdoors of Coral Gables.

Drake is a superb story and a high quality group, however the Missouri Valley Conference was a very mediocre league this season. The Bulldogs haven’t seen an offense nearly as good as Miami’s, because the Hurricanes rank twenty first in 2P% and forty first in 3P% this season. Drake did a very good job maintaining MVC groups to the surface, however Miami is a a lot faster, quicker and environment friendly group than the Bulldogs’ convention brethren.

That being stated, Miami was a shaky defensive group this season. The Hurricanes rank 256th in 2P% protection and just a bit bit above the nationwide common in 3P% protection. Drake is a group that carried out rather well on mid-range jumpers, which is normally an indicator of MVC groups. That was the weakest space defensively for the Hurricanes.

Miami speeds video games up a bit and I feel Drake may get caught up in that tempo. The Bulldogs protection faces a stiff check right here, however Miami’s protection will hand over its share of factors as properly.

🏀 Pick: Over 147.5